Remaining confident amid increased insolvencies for FY26–27

Business

For the new financial year, experts urge small businesses to understand the root causes of their cash flow problems and maintain engagement with advisers to avoid insolvency risks.

13 July 2026 By Carlos Tse 5 minutes read
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Small businesses must understand the root causes of their cash flow problems to curtail insolvency risks, experts say. RSM Australia's national head of restructuring and recovery, Jerome Mohen, has told Accountants Daily that RSM modelling indicates rising insolvencies in the coming financial year.

This is particularly evident in industries where companies cannot pass on rising costs to the consumer, with business challenges not “sector agnostic”, Mohen said.

RSM Canberra partner Adam Cormack said the causes could include temporary liquidity pressure, poor profitability, a cash collection cycle that is taking too long, exceedingly high interest rates due to debt, concerns about the business's solvency, or all of the above.

“The more regularly you engage with your trusted adviser, who generally looks to be a lawyer, an accountant, or a combination of both, the more it effectively allows you to manage your ATO debt,” Cormack said.

“The more you engage, the more optionality you do have, so what I tend to see is those business owners that are engaging with their trusted advisors tend to have a number of options available to them.”

“That can be things such as the small business restructuring regime, the voluntary administration regime, safe harbour strategies or, alternatively, depending on how early they are in place, refinancing.”

Cormack said that by doing cash flow forecasting on a rolling basis, business owners can be fully informed about their exposure and upcoming expenses.

 
 

If businesses can stress-test their assumptions, they can effectively preserve cash and resources, Cormack said.

“What that also means [is] if there are unforeseen or catastrophic things that arise, it allows you to pivot as necessary … To effectively try and reduce any sort of impact that that could have on the company's solvency position.”

Mohen noted that the ATO has taken a tougher approach to their approval of small business restructure proposals, general interest charge remittance requests and payment plan requests.

As a result, he said, early and qualified professional advice is even more critical, as alternative restructuring or recapitalisation mechanisms may need to be considered.

“The changes in line with the new legislation coming in from 1 July appear to be well understood at an advisor level but not to the same extent in the SME community.”

“We are urging members of the SME community to understand the implications of the changes – particularly the Payday Super changes – because they are the ones who are going to have to face the consequences and potential personal liability should these new requirements be breached.”

Mohen noted that operating an SME in the current economic climate is challenging, particularly amid the current wave of geopolitical uncertainty.

“At this stage there does not appear to be any quick fix.”

Mohen noted the business challenges that result in rising costs, supply chain fragility, and inflationary pressure.

“Ultimately, if businesses and business owners are not well equipped to navigate these headwinds, it can result in businesses making reactive decisions and, in turn, limiting options available to the business.”

It's imperative for small businesses to maintain a proactive approach to business management to ensure that they can make informed decisions in a timely manner, he said.

“Critically, with the introduction of Payday Super, businesses need to stay on top of their cash flow management, particularly where we are seeing increased use of DPN’s and garnishees by the ATO for the non-payment of statutory debts.”

“In addition to cash flow management, businesses should be reviewing their productivity and considering whether they need to redeploy resources to strengthen their market positioning,” he added.

Mohen also noted that the profession is currently seeing the impact of businesses that are early adopters of AI and other technologies, which are in a position to pivot and adapt more rapidly to external market movements.

“Failure to stay on top of these things is usually the reason a business owner will attribute a corporate failure to. However, when managed, the data appropriately provides insight, understanding, and optionality to the business owner.”

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